Share on Social Media:

IS TECHNOLOGY ACCELERATING?

It may seem to you that the pace of technological development is moving faster than your ability to keep up. Are you just imagining this?

According to some of the world’s leading experts in technology, it’s not all in your head. Our tools and industrial processes are changing at an ever faster and faster rate. Ten years ago, you didn’t own a smart phone. Video services on mobile devices were unheard of.  Thirty years ago, very few people owned personal computers, and digital information was nearly the exclusive possession of government and business elites. Today, you carry the entire store of the world’s knowledge in your hand.

According to Ray Kurzweil, author of The Singularity Is Near, the pace of technical innovation really is gathering speed. You may have heard of Moore’s Law. It’s named after Gordon Moore, who said in 1965 that the number of transistors in an integrated circuit would double every two years. So far, his prediction has proven to be accurate.

Kurzweil says that Moore’s Law applies to more than computer circuits. The same principle, he says, applies to technology development in general. For example, DNA sequence data has increased about ten million times since 1982, bandwidth in the internet backbone has grown by about 10 billion times since 1985, and the performance-to-price ratio for wireless devices has increased by nearly a million times since 1990. There are many more examples. A wide range of technologies increase capability by millions, even billions, of times, in just a few decades and at dramatically lower prices.

Kurzweil calls technical development an evolutionary process. As in biology, ‘natural selection’ means that advantageous development is passed on to our technological ‘offspring’. Not having to start from zero, we build on what’s been done. Our tools, like living organisms, become increasingly complex and increasingly capable. As Kurzweil put it: “Evolution applies positive feedback. The more capable methods resulting from one stage of evolutionary progress are used to create the next stage.”

Technology follows the iron law of accelerating returns. Each generation stands on the achievements of its forebears. Each generation adds its own improvements, enabling the next generation of even greater achievement.

(To get the most out of technology, you need the right information tools. Talk to us. We can help.)

Share on Social Media:

REPLACING THE PASSWORD

Security is one of our most important concerns in use of the internet. Carelessness can expose our devices to malware and hacking, and we risk our bank accounts and our identities.

The password is a partial solution, our best attempt to limit the risk in internet use. It’s not a perfect defense, though, and it brings its own drawbacks. Passwords that are easy to remember may also be easy for hackers to guess. More difficult passwords we can forget more easily, and we can be locked out of our devices or our secured sites. With multiple passwords, we compound the burden on memory.

In the future, even the best, most complex passwords may not be adequate defenses. As hackers gain access to ever more processing power, brute force attacks could overcome even our most sophisticated encryption efforts. What, then, can we do?

In the long run, replacing the password may be our only realistic chance of protecting our data, our money, and our identities. But what will you replace your password with?

One of the most promising new security protocols is use of biometric data. Replacing your password with a fingerprint, a facial scan, or an iris scan would save having to remember a complex code. A hacker can’t duplicate your features, your fingerprint, or your retinas. It wouldn’t matter how much processing power he had. Without physical access to your computer, he couldn’t break the code.

Dell, Microsoft, Digital Persona, and a few other vendors sell fingerprint scanners for computer security. All sell at retail for less than $80.00. One sells for less than $20.00. After installing your scanner, you can log in just by pressing your finger in the designated slot. You’ll never need a login password again.

Iris or retinal scanners are commonly used for airport and military security. They are too expensive for most consumer uses, but this is expected to change. Improvements in sensor technology will drive prices downward.

One of the most important technologies replacing the password will be machine learning. Ray Kurzweil, one of the most famous computer scientists, as well as a prominent author, inventor, and futurist, said that in the future “the machine will learn you”. Advanced software algorithms will learn the habits of computer users. Eventually, your computer will know your patterns of use and the cadence of your keystrokes. Your computer could detect attempted hacking simply because the hacker’s use patterns will differ from yours. No other security protocol will be necessary.

For now, replacing your computer passwords with more advanced security tools requires time, effort, or money. Before long, you won’t need to expend extra effort or money, as all computers and (legitimate) websites will have adequate security tools built in.

Meanwhile, you may have to rely on your memory.